Back to All Stocks

Texas Instruments (TXN) Stock Forecast

AI-powered analysis with bull/bear cases, price targets, and news sentiment

Texas Instruments (TXN) is a US-listed company in the Semiconductors sector. The analysis below explains how investors typically evaluate a business of this type, the valuation assumptions our model applies to the sector, and how Texas Instruments compares with its peers.

Sector: Semiconductors · AI-assisted analysis, refreshed periodically. Not financial advice. See our disclaimer.

Texas Instruments at a glance

Texas Instruments trades under the ticker TXN on the NASDAQ and is classified in the Semiconductors sector. This page brings together a live AI forecast, a discounted-cash-flow (DCF) valuation, and the fundamentals investors most often look at before taking a position.

Because Texas Instruments sits in the Semiconductors space, its results tend to move with the drivers specific to that sector. The valuation framework below reflects the growth, risk and discount-rate assumptions we apply to Semiconductors companies rather than a one-size-fits-all model.

How we value a Semiconductors stock like Texas Instruments

Our 3-stage DCF model projects earnings for Texas Instruments using sector-calibrated growth: roughly 20.0% EPS growth in the high-growth phase (years 1–5), fading to about 12.0% (years 6–10), and a long-run terminal growth of 3.5%.

Those cash flows are discounted at an estimated cost of equity of 12.2%, built from a 4.5% risk-free rate, a sector beta of 1.40, and an equity risk premium of 5.5% (CAPM). The output is an intrinsic value per share and a "margin of safety" versus the current $ market price — shown live in the Valuation tab.

A above-market beta means Texas Instruments has historically swung more than the broader index, so the model demands a higher return to compensate for that risk.

Key things to watch with Texas Instruments

Before relying on any single number, sanity-check the inputs: is the current P/E reasonable versus Texas Instruments's own history and its Semiconductors peers? Are earnings growing on a durable basis, or boosted by one-offs? How sensitive is the intrinsic value if growth comes in a couple of points below the sector assumption?

The AI Forecast tab adds qualitative colour — bull and bear cases, catalysts and risks — while the Valuation tab keeps the maths transparent. Treat both as a research starting point, not a recommendation.

Frequently asked questions about TXN

What sector does Texas Instruments (TXN) belong to?

Texas Instruments is classified in the Semiconductors sector, alongside peers such as NVIDIA Corporation, Intel Corporation, Broadcom Inc.. Sector classification drives the growth and risk assumptions used in its DCF valuation.

How is Texas Instruments's intrinsic value calculated?

We run a 3-stage discounted-cash-flow model using Semiconductors-calibrated EPS growth (high-growth ~20.0%, fade ~12.0%, terminal 3.5%) discounted at an estimated cost of equity of 12.2%. The result is compared against the live $ price to give a margin of safety.

Is Texas Instruments a good long-term investment?

That depends on your goals, risk tolerance and the price you pay. This page gives you the tools — intrinsic value, margin of safety, P/E context and an AI bull/bear view — to make that judgement, but it is educational analysis and not financial advice. Always do your own research or consult a licensed adviser.

How often is the Texas Instruments analysis updated?

The live price and fundamentals refresh on each visit where data is available, while the AI commentary is regenerated periodically. The valuation recomputes from the latest price, so the margin of safety always reflects current market conditions.